Now that the BCS Standings are Out
Of course there is a lot of discussion about whether South Florida can hang on to its top 2 position. The question being whether a 1 loss team like an LSU will catch up to them in the end.
Because of the position that computers have in the BCS standings, a question some of the pundits should consider is, will Ohio State be able to hold on to their position. I'll say this now, if South Florida, Ohio State and LSU all win out, the championship game will be South Florida and LSU. People wrinkle their noses and say "South Florida? Who the heck are they?" without looking at the schedule, and I will almost bet most football fans are totally unaware that they have already defeated the #5 team in the country, as well as a win AT a decent Auburn team. Strength of schedule is very much on South Florida's side.
Okay, but won't Ohio State gain on South Florida as far as the computers are concerned? After all, all 5 teams they have left are 5-2, that's gotta help them, right? Not really. The teams left on South Florida's schedule have pretty good records themselves, and you also have to take into account that further wins by West Virginia and Auburn will take up the slack where the computers are concerned, in fact if both teams win out South Florida will likely end up further ahead of Ohio State in the computers.
Right now the only thing Ohio State has going for them is the perception that the Big 10 is a stronger conference than the Big East. An objective look at the two would show that to be a myth. Unfortunately, too few voters in the polls look at things very objectively.
Of course that's all moot. I'm calling it here, Michigan's going to beat Ohio State anyway. Then we'll have to figure out whether it should be South Florida or Arizona State.
Because of the position that computers have in the BCS standings, a question some of the pundits should consider is, will Ohio State be able to hold on to their position. I'll say this now, if South Florida, Ohio State and LSU all win out, the championship game will be South Florida and LSU. People wrinkle their noses and say "South Florida? Who the heck are they?" without looking at the schedule, and I will almost bet most football fans are totally unaware that they have already defeated the #5 team in the country, as well as a win AT a decent Auburn team. Strength of schedule is very much on South Florida's side.
Okay, but
Right now the only thing Ohio State has going for them is the perception that the Big 10 is a stronger conference than the Big East. An objective look at the two would show that to be a myth. Unfortunately, too few voters in the polls look at things very objectively.
Of course that's all moot. I'm calling it here, Michigan's going to beat Ohio State anyway. Then we'll have to figure out whether it should be South Florida or Arizona State.
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
Links to this post:
Create a Link
<< Home